Tim Drayson

Head of Economics

Tim keeps a close watch on global economic developments, with a particular focus on the US. He believes nothing good ever happens after midnight, which is why he is rarely spotted out late. Tim joined in 2008 from the number-one ranked economics team at ABN AMRO, with prior experience from HM Treasury, and graduated with a MSc from the University of Nottingham. When not crunching economic data, he can be found studying the weather forecast, analysing his cycling statistics or looking anxious on three-foot putts.

Posts by Tim Drayson

Economics

More reserve from the Fed

Yesterday, US central bank chairman Jerome Powell told rates to take a hike. While the move was widely expected, are there longer-term ramifications?

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Economics

US-China trade war: What next?

As Trump rolls the dice with further tariffs on China, we wonder what the end game is for global growth and US monetary policy.

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Economics

A perfect recession indicator?

The US Senior Loan Officer Survey is signalling low recession risk, but how reliable is this indicator?

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Economics

US thrift – saving grace?

US households have apparently been saving far more than we realised. Could this affect how much longer the economic cycle lasts?

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